PRediction Of Geospace Radiation Environment and Solar wind parameterS
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This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 637302.
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S. Ivanov Maximal entropy in dynamical systems of ordinary differential equations Journal of Automation and Information Science, 4.-4, 2018. |
2 |
S. Ivanov Detecting the extremal properties of diffeomorphic systems Bulletin of Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Series Physics , #3.- 3 , 2018. |
3 |
Oleg Cheremnykh, Oleh Semeniv, Serhii Ivanov, Iuliia Kryvytska, Inna Mulko, Anna Bespalova, Aleksei Parnowski, Dmytro Vlasov, Vitaliy Yatsenko Guaranteed NARMAX models for the prediction of geomagnetic indices Dst, Kp, and AE submitted to Advances in Space Research, 2018. |
4 |
R. Ilie, M. W. Liemohn, G. Toth, N. Yu Ganushkina, and L. K. S. Daldorff Assessing the role of oxygen on ring current formation and evolution through numerical experiments J. Geophys. Res. (Space Physics) 120, 4656-4668, doi:10.1002/2015JA021157, 2015. |
5 |
M. A. Balikhin, Y. Y. Shprits, S. N. Walker, L. Chen, N. Cornilleau-Wehrlin, I. Dandouras, O. Santolik, C. Carr, K. H. Yearby, and B. Weiss Observations of discrete harmonics emerging from equatorial noise Nature Communications, 6:8807, doi:10.1038/ncomms8703, 2015. |
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N. Y. Ganushkina, M. W. Liemohn, S. Dubyagin, I. A. Daglis, I. Dandouras, D. L. De Zeeuw, Y. Ebihara, R. Ilie, R. Katus, M. Kubyshkina, S. E. Milan, S. Ohtani, N. Ostgaard, J. P. Reistad, P. Tenfjord, F. Toffoletto, S. Zaharia, and O. Amariutei Defining and resolving current systems in geospace Ann. Geophys. 33, 1369-1402, doi:10.5194/angeo-33-1369-2015, 2015. |
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Y. Y. Shprits, A. C. Kellerman, A. Y. Drozdov, H. E. Spence, G. D. Reeves, and D. N. Baker Combined convective and diffusive simulations: VERB-4D comparison with 17 March 2013 Van Allen Probes observations Geophys. Res. Lett. 42, 9600-9608, doi:10.1002/2015GL065230, 2015. |
8 |
S. N. Walker, M. A. Balikhin, D. R. Shklyar, K. H. Yearby, P. Canu, C. M. Carr, and I. Dandouras Experimental determination of the dispersion relation of magnetosonic waves J. Geophys. Res. (Space Physics) 120, 9632-9650, doi:10.1002/2015JA021746, 2015. |
9 |
S. Dubyagin, N. Ganushkina, M. Liemohn, and M. Kubyshkina Can ring current stabilize magnetotail during steady magnetospheric convection? J. Geophys. Res. (Space Physics) 120, 10528-10542, doi:10.1002/2015JA022003, 2015. |
10 |
M. Spasojevic, Y. Y. Shprits, and K. Orlova Global empirical models of plasmaspheric hiss using Van Allen Probes J. Geophys. Res. (Space physics) 120, 10370-10383, doi:10.1002/2015JA021803, 2015. |
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R. Ilie, N. Ganushkina, G. Toth, S. Dubyagin, and M. W. Liemohn Testing the magnetotail configuration based on observations of low altitude isotropic boundaries during quiet times J. Geophys. Res. (Space Physics) 120, 10557-10573, doi:10.1002/2015JA021858, 2015. |
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V. V. Shastun, O. V. Agapitov A reconstruction method of electron density distribution in the equatorial region of magnetosphere Advances in Astronomy and Space Physics 5, 104-108, 2015. |
13 |
M. A. Balikhin, J. V. Rodriguez, R. J. Boynton, S. N. Walker1, H. Aryan, D. G. Sibeck, and S. A. Billings Comparative analysis of NOAA REFM and SNB3GEO tools for the forecast of the fluxes of high-energy electrons at GEO Space Weather 14, 21-38, doi:10.1002/2015SW001303, 2016. |
14 |
I. S. Zhelavskaya, M. Spasojevic, Y. Y. Shprits, and W. S. Kurth Automated determination of electron density from electric field measurements on the Van Allen Probes spacecraft J. Geophys. Res. (Space Physics) 121, 4611-4625, doi:10.1002/2015JA022132, 2016. |
15 |
Michael W. Liemohn, Natalia Y. Ganushkina, Raluca Ilie, and Daniel T.
Welling Challenges associated with near-Earth nightside current J. Geophys. Res. (Space physics) 121, 6763-6768, doi:10.1002/2016JA022948, 2016. |
16 |
Bogdan Uzbekova, Yuri Y. Shprits, and K. Orlova Scattering of relativistic and ultra-relativistic electrons by obliquely propagating Electromagnetic Ion Cyclotron waves J. Atmos. Sol. Terr. phys. 148, 22-31, doi:10.1016/j.jastp.2016.08.004, 2016. |
17 |
Ripoll, J.-F., V. Loridan, G. S. Cunningham, G. D. Reeves, and Y. Y. Shprits On the time needed to reach an equilibrium structure of the radiation belts J. Geophys. Res. (Space Physics) 121, 7684–7698, doi:10.1002/2015JA022207, 2016. |
18 |
S. Dubyagin, N. Yu. Ganushkina, I. Sillanpää, A. Runov Solar wind driven variations of electron plasma sheet densities and temperatures beyond geostationary orbit during storm times J. Geophys. Res. (Space Physics) 121, 8343-8360, doi:10.1002/2016JA022947, 2016. |
19 |
Boynton, R. J., D. Mourenas,
and M. A. Balikhin Electron flux dropouts at Geostationary Earth Orbit: Occurrences, magnitudes, and main driving factors J. Geophys. Res. (Space Physics) 121, 8448–8461, doi:10.1002/2016JA022916, 2016. |
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S.M. Ivanov and V.O. Yatsenko Prediction of the geomagnetic Kp index by a discrete bilinear model (in Ukrainian) Bulletin of Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv 3, 65-68, 2016. |
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Y. Y. Shprits, A. Y. Drozdov, M. Spasojevic, A. C. Kellerman, M. E. Usanova, M. J. Engebretson, O. V. Agapitov, I. S. Zhelavskaya, T. J. Raita, H. E. Spence, D. N. Baker, H. Zhu and N. A. Aseev Wave-induced loss of ultra-relativistic electrons in the Van Allen radiation belts Nature Comms 7, 12883, doi: 10.1038/NCOMMS12883, 2016. |
22 |
Simon N. Walker, Andrei G. Demekhov, Scott A. Boardsen, Natalia Y. Ganushkina, David G. Sibeck, and Michael A. Balikhin Cluster observations of non-time-continuous magnetosonic waves J. Geophys. Res. (Space Physics) 121, 9701-9716, doi:10.1002/2016JA023287, 2016. |
23 |
Jose Roberto Ayala Solares, Hua-Liang Wei, R. J. Boynton, Simon N. Walker, and Stephen A. Billings Modelling and Prediction of Global Magnetic Disturbance in Near-Earth Space: a Case Study for Kp Index Using NARX Models Space Weather 14, 899-916, doi:10.1002/2016SW001463, 2016. |
24 |
E. E. Grigorenko, E. A. Kronberg,
P. W. Daly, N. Y. Ganushkina, B. Lavraud, J.-A. Sauvaud, and L. M. Zelenyi Origin of low proton-to-electron temperature ratio in the Earth’s plasma sheet J. Geophys. Res. (Space Physics) 121, 9985–10,004, doi:10.1002/2016JA022874, 2016. |
25 |
R. J. Boynton, M. A. Balikhin, D. G. Sibeck, S. N Walker, S. A Billings, and N. Ganushkina Electron flux models for different energies at geostationary orbit Space Weather 14, doi:10.1002/2016SW001506, 2016. |
26 |
M. Jin, W. B. Manchester, B. van der Holst, I. Sokolov, G. Toth, A. Vourlidas, C. A. de Koning, and T. I. Gombosi Chromosphere to 1 AU Simulation of the 2011 March 7th Event: A Comprehensive Study of Coronal Mass Ejection Propagation Astrophysical Journal 834, 172, doi:10.3847/1538-4357/834/2/172, 2017. |
27 |
M. Jin, W. B. Manchester, B. van der Holst, I. Sokolov, G. Toth, R. E. Mullinix, A. Taktakishvili, A. Chulaki, and T. I. Gombosi Data Constrained Coronal Mass Ejections in A Global Magnetohydrodynamics Model Astrophysical Journal 834, 173, doi:10.3847/1538-4357/834/2/173, 2017. |
28 |
J. Szente, G. Toth, W. B. Manchester IV, B. van der Holst, E. Landi, T. I. Gombosi, C. R. DeVore, and S. K. Antiochos Coronal Jets Simulated with the global Alfven Wave Solar Model Astrophysical Journal 834, 123, doi:10.3847/1538-4357/834/2/123, 2017. |
29 |
Y. Y. Shprits, A. Kellerman, N. Aseev, A. Y. Drozdov, and I. Michaelis Multi-MeV Electron Loss in the Heart of the Radiation Belts Geophys. Res. Lett. 44, 1204-1209, doi:10.1002/ 2016GL072258, 2017. |
30 |
Drozdov, A. Y., Y. Y. Shprits, N. A. Aseev, A. C. Kellerman, and G. D. Reeves Dependence of radiation belt simulations to assumed radial diffusion rates tested for two empirical models of radial transport Space Weather 15, 150–162, doi:10.1002/2016SW001426, 2017. |
31 |
Usanova, M. E., and Y. Y. Shprits Inner magnetosphere coupling: Recent advances J. Geophys. Res. Space Physics 122, 102-104, doi:10.1002/ 2016JA023614, 2017. |
32 |
Azlyna Senawi, Hua-Liang Wei, and Stephen A. Billings A new maximum relevance-minimum multicollinearity (MRmMC) method for feature selection and ranking Pattern Recognition 67, 47-61, doi:10.1016/j.patcog.2017.01.026, 2017. |
33 |
Jose Roberto Ayala Solares, Hua-Liang Wei, Stephen A. Billings A novel logistic-NARX model as a classifier for dynamic binary classification Neural Computing and Applications, doi:10.1007/s00521-017-2976-x, 2017. |
34 |
Kim, Kyung-Chan and Yuri Shprits Dependence of the amplitude of magnetosonic waves on the solar wind and AE index using Van Allen Probes J. Geophys. Res. (Space Physics) 122, doi:10.1002/2017JA0240, 2017. |
35 |
Green, J. C., J. Likar, and Y. Shprits Impact of space weather on the satellite industry Space Weather 15, 804–818, doi:10.1002/2017SW001646, 2017. |
36 |
Borovikov, D., I. V. Sokolov,W. B. Manchester, M. Jin, and T. I. Gombosi Eruptive eventgenerator based on the Gibson-Lowmagnetic configuration J. Geophys. Res. Space Physics 122, 7979–7984, doi:10.1002/2017JA024304, 2017. |
37 |
Drozdov, A. Y., Y. Y. Shprits,
M. E. Usanova, N. A. Aseev,
A. C. Kellerman, and H. Zhu EMIC wave parameterization in the long-term VERB code simulation J. Geophys. Res. (Space Physics) 122, doi:10.1002/ 2017JA024389, 2017. |
38 |
N. A. Aseev, Y. Y. Shprits, A. Y. Drozdov, A. C. Kellerman,
M. E. Usanova, D. Wang, I. S. Zhelavskaya
Signatures of Ultrarelativistic Electron Loss in the Heart of the Outer Radiation Belt Measured by Van Allen Probes J. Geophys. Res. (Space Physics), doi: 10.1002/2017JA024485, 2017. |
39 |
Natalia Ganushkina, Allison Jaynes, and Michael Liemohn
Space Weather Effects Produced by the Ring Current Particles Space Science Reviews 212, 1315–1344, doi:10.1007/s11214-017-0412-2, 2017. |
40 |
P. Wintoft, M. Wik, J. Matzka, and Y. Shprits Forecasting Kp from solar wind data: input parameter study using 3-hour averages and 3-hour range values J. Space Weather and Space Climate 7, A29, doi:10.1051/swsc/2017027, 2017. |
41 |
Borovsky, J. E., and Shprits, Y. Is the Dst Index Sufficient to Define All Geospace Storms? J. Geophys. Res. (Space Physics) 122, 11543-11547, doi:10.1002/2017JA024679, 2017. |
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John D. Haiducek, Daniel T. Welling, Natalia Y. Ganushkina, Steven K. Morley, and Dogacan Su Öztuürk SWMF Global Magnetosphere Simulations of January 2005: Geomagnetic Indices and Cross-Polar Cap Potential Space Weather 15, 1567–1587, doi:10.1002/2017SW001695, 2017. |
43 |
R. J. Boynton, D. Mourenas, and M. A. Balikhin Electron flux dropouts at L~4.2 from Global Positioning System satellites: Occurrences, magnitudes, and main driving factors J. Geophys. Res. (Space Physics) 122, 11428-11441, doi:10.1002/2017JA024523, 2017. |
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Zhelavskaya, I. S., Shprits, Y. Y., &
Spasojevic, M Empirical modeling of the plasmasphere dynamics using neural networks. J. Geophys. Res. (Space Physics) 122, 11227-11244, doi:10.1002/2017JA024406, 2017. |
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I. Sillanpää, N. Yu. Ganushkina, S. Dubyagin, and J. V. Rodriguez Electron fluxes at geostationary orbit from GOES MAGED data Space Weather 15, 1602-1614, doi:10.1002/2017SW001698, 2017. |
46 |
Xing Cao, Yuri Y. Shprits, Binbin Ni
& Irina S. Zhelavskaya Scattering of Ultra-relativistic Electrons in the Van Allen Radiation Belts Accounting for Hot Plasma Efects Nature Scientific Reports 7, 17719, doi:10.1038/s41598-017-17739-7, 2017. |
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V. Yatsenko Guaranteed prediction of the Dst index Bulletin of Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Series Physics & Mathematics 4, 151-154, 2018. |
48 |
B. Ni, X. Cao, Y. Y. Shprits, D. Summers, X. Gu, S. Fu, and Y. Lou Hot plasma effects on the cyclotron-resonant pitch-angle scattering rates of radiation belt electrons due to EMIC waves. Geophys. Res. Lett. 45, 21-30, doi:10.1002/2017GL076028, 2018. |
49 |
E. E. Grigorenko, S. Dubyagin, A. Yu. Malykhin, Yu V. Khotyaintsev, E. A. Kronberg, B. Lavraud, and N. Yu Ganushkina Intense Current Structures Observed at Electron Kinetic Scales in the Near-Earth Magnetotail During Dipolarization and Substorm Current Wedge Formation Geophysical Research Letters 45, 602–611, doi:10.1002/2017GL076303 , 2018. |
50 |
Natalia Ganushkina, Michael Liemohn, S. Dubyagin Current Systems in the Earth's Magnetosphere Reviews of Geophysics 56, doi:10.1002/2017RG000590, 2018. |
51 |
S. Dubyagin, N. Yu. Ganushkina, and V. Sergeev Formation of 30 keV proton isotropic boundaries during geomagnetic storms J. Geophys. Res. (Space Physics) 123, doi:10.1002/2017JA024587, 2018. |
52 |
Marina Kubyshkina, Vladimir Semenov, Nikolai Erkaev, Evgeny Gordeev, Stepan Dubyagin, Natalia Ganushkina, and Maria Shukhtina Relations between vz and Bx components in solar wind and their effect on substorm onset Geophysical Research Letters 45, doi:10.1002/2017GL076268, 2018. |
53 |
Yuanlin Gu, and Hua-Liang Wei A robust model structure selection method for small sample size and multiple datasets problems Information Sciences 451, 195-209, doi:10.1016/j.ins.2018.04.007, 2018. |
54 |
Andrey Y. Malykhin, Elena E. Grigorenko, Elena A. Kronberg, Rositza Koleva, Natalia Y. Ganushkina, Ludmila Kozak, and Patrick W. Daly Contrasting dynamics of electrons and protons in the near-Earth plasma sheet during dipolarization Annales Geophysicae 36, 741-760, doi:10.5194/angeo-36-741-2018, 2018. |
55 |
Y.Y. Shprits, J.D. Menietti, A.Y. Drozdov, R.B. Horne, E.E. Woodfield, J.B. Groene, M. de Soria-Santacruz, T.F. Averkamp, H. Garrett, C. Paranicas, and D.A. Gurnet Strong whistler mode waves observed in the vicinity of Jupiter ’ s moons Nature Communications, 9:3131, doi:10.1038/s41467-018-05431-, 2018. |
56 |
R. J. Boynton, H. Aryan, S. N. Walker, V. Krasnoselskikh, and M. A. Balikhin The influence of solar wind and geomagnetic indices on Lower Band Chorus emissions in the inner magnetosphere J. Geophys. Res. (Space Physics) 123, doi:10.1029/2018JA025704, 2018. |
57 |
M. Liemohn, N. Yu. Ganushkina, D. L. De Zeeuw, L. Rastaetter, M. Kuznetsova, D. T. Welling, G. Toth, R. Ilie, T. I. Gombosi, and B. van der Holst Real-time SWMF at CCMC: assessing the Dst output from continuous operational simulations Space Weather 16, 1583-1603, doi:10.1029/2018SW001953, 2018. |
58 |
Michael W. Liemohn, James P. McCollough,
Vania K. Jordanova, Chigomezyo M. Ngwira, Steven K. Morley, Consuelo Cid, W. Kent Tobiska, Peter Wintoft, Natalia Yu. Ganushkina, Daniel T. Welling, Suzy Bingham, Michael A. Balikhin, Hermann J. Opgenoorth, Miles A. Engel, Robert S. Weigel, Howard J. Singer, Dalia Buresova, Sean Bruinsma, Irina S. Zhelavskaya, Yuri Y. Shprits, and Ruggero Vasile Model evaluation guidelines for geomagnetic index predictions Space Weather 16, doi:10.1029/2018SW002067, 2018. |
59 |
Wintoft, P., and M. Wik Evaluation of Kp and Dst predictions using ACE and DSCOVR solar wind data Space Weather 16, doi:10.1029/2018SW001994, 2018. |
60 |
N. A. Aseev, Y. Y. Shprits, D. Wang, J. Wygant, A. Y. Drozdov, A. C. Kellerman, G. D. Reeves Transport and Loss of Ring Current Electrons Inside Geosynchronous Orbit during the 17 March 2013 Storm J. Geophys. Res. Space Physics 124, doi:10.1029/2018JA026031, 2019. |
61 |
Dedong Wang, Yuri Shprits, Irina Zhelavskaya, Oleksiy Agapitov, Alexander Drozdov, Nikita Aseev Analytical Chorus Wave Model Derived from Van Allen Probe Observations J. Geophys. Res. Space Physics 124, doi:10.1029/2018JA026183, 2019. |
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Vitaliy Yatsenko, Serhii Ivanov, Aleksei Parnowski, Dmytro Vlasov Guaranteed NARMAX model for the prediction of geomagnetic Dst index Journal of Physical Studies 23, 1901-5, doi:10.30970/jps.23.1901, 2019. |
63 |
J. D. Haiducek, N. Y. Ganushkina, S. Dubyagin, D. T. Welling On the accuracy of adiabaticity parameter estimations using magnetospheric models J. Geophys. Res. Space Physics 124, doi:10.1029/2018JA025916, 2019. |
64 |
Kim, K.-C., and Y. Shprits Statistical analysis of hiss waves in plasmaspheric plumes using Van Allen Probe observations J. Geophys. Res. Space Physics 124, doi:10.1029/ 2018JA026458, 2019. |
65 |
N. Yu. Ganushkina, I. Sillanpaa, D. Welling, J. Haiducek, M. Liemohn, S. Dubyagin, J. V. Rodriguez Validation of Inner Magnetosphere Particle Transport and Acceleration Model (IMPTAM) on the long-term GOES MAGED measurements of keV electron fluxes at geostationary orbit Space Weather 17, 687– 708, doi:10.1029/2018SW002028, 2019. |
66 |
Castillo A., Shprits Y., Ganushkina N., Drozdov A., Aseev N., Wang D., Dubyagin S. Simulations of the inner magnetospheric energetic electrons using the IMPTAM-VERB coupled model Journal of Atmospheric and Solar Terrestrial Physics 191, 105050, doi:10.1016/j.jastp.2019.05.014, 2019. |
67 |
Haiducek, J. D., Ganushkina, N. Y., Dubyagin, S., and Welling, D. T. The role of current sheet scattering in the proton isotropic boundary formation during geomagnetic storms J. Geophys. Res. (Space Physics) 124, 3468–3486, doi:10.1029/2018JA026290, 2019. |
68 |
A. J. Halford, A. C. Kellerman, K. Garcia-Sage, J. Klenzing, B. A. Carter, R. M. McGranaghan, T. Guild, C. Cid, C. J. Henney, N. Yu. Ganushkina, A. G. Burrell, M. Terkildsen, B. J. Thompson, A. Pulkkinen, J. P. McCollough, S. A. Murray, K. D. Leka, S. Fung, S. Bingham, B. M. Walsh, M. W. Liemohn, M. M. Bisi, S. K. Morley, D. T. Welling Application Usability Levels: A Framework for Tracking a Project’s Progress Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate 9, A34, doi:10.1051/swsc/2019030 , 2019. |