Real time forecast of the Kp index using a NARMAX model

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Real time forecast of the Kp index using a Bilinear NARMAX model

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Forecast Figures

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Real time solar wind data from ACE, provided by the Space Weather Prediction Center, are used to compute the model output. This is compared to the real time Kp index, provided by the German Research Centre for Geosciences.

The Kp NARMAX model, is provided by Ayala Solares et al. [2016].

These models were developed thanks to funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 637302 called PROGRESS

Data of the past years model predicted output using the NARMAX model in a tabular format.

Data of the past years model predicted output using the Bilinear NARMAX model in a tabular format.